December 20, 2008

Gordon Brown's Behaviour Is Simply Immoral

THE TELEGRAPH: We are still recovering from his inane observations of earlier this year on the usefulness of sharia in Britain and the rabble he leads as Primate of All England could not be a clearer advertisement of his talents. But we must give him this: what he said about the immorality of the Prime Minister spending (or, more accurately, attempting to spend) this country out of a recession was absolutely right.

It is time we stopped suspending disbelief and took account of two things. First, if the current economic miseries are a global problem, why are things so much worse here than anywhere else? Why is sterling taking a more or less unique hit on the world's currency markets? The answer is simple: it is that the fundamentals of our economy are so much worse than almost everyone else's, and that is because of the mess Mr Brown has made of running it, in one capacity or another, for the last 12 years.

Then we need to suspend disbelief about how we best get out of this mess. Why, when Mr Brown created it, should he be trusted to extricate us from it? Isn't that a little like suggesting al-Qaeda rebuild the World Trade Center? Isn't it quite clear that the best thing for Britain is to have these charlatans removed from power as swiftly as possible, even if it means replacing them with the Disney characters of the Tory front bench? >>> By Simon Heffer | Friday, December 19, 2008

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December 19, 2008

Almost Two-thirds of Britons Support Telegraph's Justice for Pensioners Campaign

THE TELEGRAPH: More than half of Britons support The Daily Telegraph's savings campaign, a new YouGov survey has disclosed.

A total of 58 per cent backed the Justice for Pensioners campaign, which is calling for a suspension of tax paid by pensioners on savings and dividends.

It comes as millions of pensioners have seen the return on their savings and share investments - which they have prudently built up for their retirement - plummet following consecutive significant cuts in interest rates.

While the Bank of England has reduced rates from 5 to 2 per cent from the beginning of October, the average rate on a one-year savings bond has been cut from 6.2 per cent to 3.8 per cent per cent during the same period, according to the personal finance researchers Moneyfacts.

Around 30 per cent of those aged 55 or over rely on the interest from savings and dividends from shares. >>> By Myra Butterworth, Personal Finance Correspondent | December 19, 2008

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Sterling Slide Is Worst Since 1931

THE TELEGRAPH: The pound is suffering its worst slide since Britain was forced off the gold standard in 1931.

Sterling dipped closer to parity against the euro, with the single currency now worth more than 95p for the first time ever. The pound's fall came amid fast-growing disquiet about the fate of the UK economy and consumer sentiment next year.

The pound has now fallen by 23pc against a basket of other currencies, according to figures from the Bank of England. The fall is sharper than the devaluations in 1992, after leaving the Exchange Rate Mechanism, 1976, when the International Monetary Fund was forced to intervene, and 1949, when a host of countries slumped against the dollar.

The devaluation is only matched by the moment in 1931 when, under Ramsay MacDonald, the UK was forced to abandon the gold standard, plunging by more than 24pc against the dollar. The parallel is significant, since many economists have attributed the gold standard exit as one of the main reasons the UK enjoyed a relatively mild depression in the 1930s, while the US suffered mass unemployment and saw its economy shrink by a third.

The pound had fallen more than 1½ pence against the euro yesterday and was trading at 94.15 early on Friday. Late last night it fell as low as 95p, with the pound buying €1.047.

Traders are increasingly convinced that the Bank of England will follow in the Federal Reserve's footsteps and cut interest rates all the way to zero by early next year. >>> By Edmund Conway and Angela Monaghan | December 19, 2008

TELEGRAPH BLOGS:
Germany Is Already Collapsing >>> By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

TIMESONLINE:
Japan Cuts Rate to Just Above Zero >>> Rosie Lavan | December 19, 2008

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December 18, 2008

Archbishop Welcomes Credit Crunch 'Reality Check'

THE INDEPENDENT: The credit crunch is a welcome "reality check" for a society that has become driven by unsustainable greed, the Archbishop of Canterbury said today.

Rowan Williams also hit out at Gordon Brown's plans to combat recession by boosting spending, likening them to an "addict returning to the drug".

The head of the Church of England's outspoken comments came as he delivered a scathing assessment of "moral" failings in Britain's economy.

Interviewed on BBC Radio 4's Today programme, he insisted the country had been "going in the wrong direction" for decades by relying on financial speculation to generate wealth quickly rather than "making things".

The UK had backed itself "into a corner", and must now rediscover "patience" and re-think the way it viewed material gain, he said.

Asked whether that meant the global financial crisis wracking the economy had been beneficial, Dr Williams replied: "It is a sort of a reality check, isn't it - which is always good for us.

"A reminder that what I think some people have called fairy gold is just that - that sooner or later you have to ask: 'What are we making or what are we assembling or accumulating wealth for?'." >>> By James Tapsfield, PA | December 18, 2008

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December 17, 2008

Shoot the Bastards at Goldmine Sachs!

MAIL Online: Investment bank Goldman Sachs is to pay £4.3billion in bonuses to its City workers.

Despite the financial crisis and the spectre of soaring unemployment, staff at the bank will get an average of £142,600 each.

The international group, which is estimated to have 5,400 employees in London, is already nicknamed ' Goldmine Sacks' for the large extra payouts it awards to its star performers.

Yesterday the firm posted its first loss for almost a decade. And earlier this year it was forced to accept a £6.5billion lifeline from the U.S. government after falling prey to the economic crisis.

Now, an amount equivalent to two thirds of that aid will be paid to its workers as bonuses. Goldmine Sachs: As Jobless Toll Soars, Investment Bank's Bonuses for Staff Are Cut to a MERE £4.3bn >>> By Karl West and Nick McDermott | December 16, 2008

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December 15, 2008

The Writing's on the Wall for the Old-style American Newspaper

THE INDEPENDENT: The Chicago Tribune Company is bankrupt – and The New York Times is deep in debt. Can there be any future for printed news in the US? Stephen Foley reports from New York

'[sic] Will old media survive the 'perfect storm'?" wondered the Chicago Tribune, the day after its parent company filed for bankruptcy. "Tribune's collapse rings alarm bells for newspapers," rang out the headline in London's Evening Standard.
For the Wall Street Journal – which denies it has become more "tabloid-y" under Rupert Murdoch's ownership – it was a moment to wallow in the "Media industry's trials and Tribune-ations."

The headlines were black. These are dark times for newspapers everywhere in the developed world, after all, as the slow ebb of circulation figures has been suddenly and shockingly compounded by a collapse in advertising revenue brought on by the recession. The spectacular bankruptcy of the Tribune group – owner of the Los Angeles Times and the Chicago Tribune, two of the top 10 best-selling papers in the US – and the humbling of Sam Zell, the billionaire property tycoon whose ego is as famously large as he is famously short – provided an irresistible hook for another traipse around these grim subjects.

And the inescapable conclusion is that more US newspaper owners will be following Zell along his arc from hubris to nemesis. The storied American families who carved up the industry between them over many generations – the McClatchys, for example, with their empire of regional titles, and the Ochs-Sulzbergers, who have controlled The New York Times since 1896 – will face unprecedented challenges in keeping hold of their debt-laden possessions.

Journalists, too, are expecting convulsions, including the demise of many local titles and savage cost-cutting at those that remain. Across the country's 1,400 titles, 15,000 jobs have been lost this year, according to Paper Cuts, a website monitoring lay-offs – more than one out of every eight. Regional newspapers' Washington and overseas bureaux are being shuttered, as the US industry's resources – still rich by international standards – become stretched. >>> | Monday, December 15, 2008

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’Because He’s Worth It’

Photobucket
Photo of Liliane Bettencourt courtesy of Google Images

THE INDEPENDENT: Cosmetics giant's elderly matriarch faces challenge from angry daughter over shock bequest. John Lichfield reports from Paris

An unseemly mother-daughter dispute threatens to smudge the glittering public face of L'Oréal, the world's most successful cosmetics company. The mental capacity of L'Oréal's chief shareholder, Liliane Bettencourt, 86, to manage her €23bn (£20.5bn) fortune has been challenged by her only child, Françoise.

Mme Bettencourt, one of the world's wealthiest women and a renowned philanthropist, is reported to have funded life insurance policies worth nearly €1bn which benefit a jet-set photographer, artist and author whom she has befriended. Her daughter has brought a legal action which suggests that her mother's great age makes her vulnerable to "abuse".

The complaint was first made almost a year ago but details have just emerged in the French press. An investigative website, Bakchich.info, reported that police had discreetly interviewed both Mme Bettencourt and the man who is said to have become virtually her adopted son, François-Marie Banier. L'Oréal Heiress Gives €1bn to Photographer 'Because He's Worth It' >>> Monday, December 15, 2008

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Wirtschaftskrise: Opec will höheren Ölpreis – Konjunktur in Gefahr

WELT ONLINE: Mit milliardenschweren Konjunkturprogrammen kämpfen westliche Regierungen gegen die Weltwirtschaftskrise. Doch die Opec droht, alle Bemühungen mit einem Federstrich zunichte zu machen. Denn für das nahöstlich dominierte Ölkartell sollen die Zeiten der Opfer – der Preiseinbußen – vorüber sein. >>> Von Birger Nicolai und Daniel Wetzel | 14. Dezember 2008

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The Incompenet Twerps to Let the the Pound Fall through the Floor...

THE INDEPENDENT: Treasury says protecting the currency is 'not a first-order issue' as Euro readies to overtake sterling in markets for the first time.

The plummeting pound will not be propped up by government intervention, ministers declared yesterday, as it emerged that they will simply hope Britain's beleaguered currency stabilises as broader measures to stimulate the economy begin to take effect.

Sterling has fallen to a series of record lows against the euro in recent days, and looks set to reach parity with the single European currency for the first time. Its fall has hit holidaymakers as well as the thousands of Britons living on the Continent, who have seen the value of pensions and savings plummet.

But ministers have made it clear no help will be forthcoming to stabilise sterling. The Europe minister, Caroline Flint, confirmed the value of the pound was not a "first-order issue" and Yvette Cooper, Chief Secretary to the Treasury, said bolstering the currency had never been the Government's aim. Pound to Be Left to Its Fate >>> By Michael Savage, Political Correspondent| December 15, 2008

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December 14, 2008

Experts Can Only Guess as We Head Into the Unknown

THE SUNDAY TIMES: American Account

“DON’T project beyond the range of the known observations” is a rule followed by careful economists. In plain English this means, for example, that we know how American consumers behave when petrol prices move between $1 and $4 a gallon, “the range of the known observations”. But we haven’t much of an idea what consumers would do if prices rose to $5 — no experience, no data to inform our forecasts. Which is why we have to be very careful when predicting the effect of the various policies that are being adopted to fight the credit crisis and recession. We simply have no experience of this combination of events.

So we have reason to worry about the galaxy of stars that Barack Obama has assembled to help him right the American economy. They are so bright, so self-confident, so accustomed to being the smartest guy or girl in the room, that doubt is not one of the emotions with which they are familiar, as was true of the bright young “quants” (mathematical economists) who designed the models used to manage the risks taken on by Lehman Brothers and AIG. Something about hubris and nemesis comes to mind. >>> Irwin Stelzer | Sunday, December 14, 2008

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A New World Order

This essay was first published on my website on June 27, 2008. In view of the tumultuous events that have happened in the world economy since that time, I thought it was time to re-publish the essay: - Mark
The West isn’t working. This world order isn’t working, either. It’s time for a change. If the West wants to survive, then things will have to change. The way things are going on, the West will be on its knees in a short time, and in short order. At the moment, everything revolves around the Middle East, and around Middle Eastern money and oil, and around Middle Eastern influence.

The culture and ‘civilisation’ of the Middle East is diametrically-opposed to our own; but Middle Eastern petrodollars are being used to buy power and influence here in the West. Therefore, if we wish to preserve our civilisation, if we wish to preserve our way of life, we need change. The claptrap coming out of the White House, the claptrap coming out of Number 10, the claptrap coming out of the Foreign Office is not helpful to the preservation of freedom, liberty, and democracy.

The people at the top are like junkies – they are addicted to Middle Eastern money. They don’t call those people potentates for nothing! It is a sad fact of life in the twenty-first century that our leaders are far more interested in making money than they are in preserving our civilisation.

We have got to the point in which it is far more important to earn a fast buck than it is to re-affirm our commitment to the Judeo-Christian culture which has served us so well - a culture which has brought us civilisation, compassion, liberty, dignity, and justice. Islam, with its barbaric practices of beheading, amputation, lapidation, whipping, and torture doesn’t come anywhere close to Judeo-Christian civilisation. Indeed, it is light years away!

President Bush dreamed of bringing democracy to Iraq, nay, to the Middle East. He has been living in ‘cloud cuckoo land’! As has his partner: Tony Blair. Islam and democracy just don’t mix. A fool would have known this. Apparently, neither the White House nor Number 10 did!

Today, Tony Blair left office. He no longer resides at 10 Downing Street. He is no longer the prime minister of Great Britain. Mercifully! In ten years at the helm, Tony Blair has inflicted a lot of damage on Great Britain. Much of that damage is in the loss of democracy, to say nothing of the uncontrolled borders.

It would appear that the West is being driven by the petrodollars of the Middle East. The tail is wagging the dog! And while this state of affairs exists, there will be no good outcome. No good outcome at all! Inherent in capitalism is greed. Greed is no good principle on which to steer our economy, to say nothing of our civilisation. Now that is not to say that I think that capitalism is bad; it isn’t. But unbridled capitalism needs to be reined in if we wish our freedoms and liberty to proliferate.

Osama bin Laden accuses the United States of being “a paper tiger”. It would appear that there is much truth in this description of our friends’ country; especially since President Bush has run that wonderful country. Why do I say this? Because it has been impotent in stopping the growth of Islam in America, and therefore impotent in helping stop the growth of Islam in the West, because it has failed to stop the influence of Wahhabism in America, and it has failed miserably to stop the uncontrolled growth of Salafism in the States, too. Indeed, in the past ten years, Islam has grown apace in the US, in the UK, and in the West in general. The power and influence of Muslims and the Middle East is at a frighteningly high level! And all the while democracy has been weakened at home.

It is no good trying to bring democracy to another part of the world – a part of the world which can never be democratised while the prophet Muhammad is the people’s guide – and it is no good trying to change the nature of a people, either. The nature of a people depends on the philosophy which guides them. Islam guides Middle Easterners; so, as Islam and democracy are diametrically-opposed, there is little point in trying to bring democracy to that region. For democracy to flourish, the sine qua non is that there be a separation of the temporal from the sacred, a separation of politics and religion. Without that separation, there is absolutely no hope of establishing a democracy. None at all! No, democracy cannot exist without a separation of church, or mosque, and state. It is impossible! What Bush and Blair embarked on could be labelled “mission impossible”! For mission impossible it most certainly was. Here we are, several years later, and nothing, absolutely nothing, has been achieved; and nor will anything be achieved in the future, either. From nothing, comes nothing!

But what bothers me most is this: We are destroying the life we have grown to love and respect. Corruption abounds. Billions of dollars, billions of pounds, are paid to the potentates of the Middle East. Politicians in the West are reluctant to uphold the status quo for fear of upsetting their paymasters. They are also worried that they will not get the lucrative deals after they leave office that they might if they spill the beans. All quite understandable, of course; but all quite disgusting all the same.

If the West is to survive in its present form, if the West is to remain whole and free – and with the number of immigrants that have entered the West, that is a big question! – the West has to sever the umbilical cord which binds us to Middle Eastern oil, which binds us to Middle Eastern funds, which binds us to Middle Eastern influence. Sucking up to Saudis just won’t cut the mustard. We will have to break loose!

There is no other way for the survival of the West, there is no other way for the perpetuation of freedom and liberty and no other way to ensure the dignity of man. If Islam wins the day – which, as things are going at the moment, it most certainly will – then we all have dark daysto look forward to. There is no other way: This world order isn’t working. It’s ‘broke’. And when something is broken, it needs to be fixed. It’s time for a new world order. Now!
©Mark Alexander

All rights reserved

December 12, 2008

US Car Industry Set to Collapse as Bailout Fails

TIMESONLINE: The American car industry faced imminent collapse last night after the Senate effectively threw out a $14 billion emergency bailout bill.

Talks between the Democrats and Republicans over the viability of a federal-funded short-term rescue of General Motors and Chrysler fell apart late in the evening after the two sides of the political divide failed to agree on pay for workers at the auto companies.

Harry Reid, the Democrat Senate Majority Leader, yesterday said that Capitol Hill had thrown in the towel until Barack Obama, the President-elect, took office on January 20.

However, General Motors and Chrysler may not be able to wait until next month without seeking bankruptcy protection - a move which is expected to trigger the collapse of the entire American car-making industry. >>> Suzy Jagger in New York | December 12, 2008

THE GUARDIAN: World Markets Slump as US Car Industry Bail-out Fails

Stockmarkets tumbled around the world after a $14bn (£10bn) bail-out package for the struggling US car industry collapsed last night.

The London market followed Asian shares into the red. The FTSE 100 index fell nearly 180 points in early trading, a drop of 4%, and later traded down 166 points at 4221. Dow Jones futures were down more than 310 points, pointing to a fall on Wall Street when it opens later today. There could be more bad news for the US economy when official figures are released this afternoon, which are expected to show a sharp fall in retail sales in November.

Republicans in the US Senate refused to support a bill to help the carmakers, endorsed by the White House and congressional Democrats. Republican demands for union wage cuts derailed a last-ditch effort to push the emergency aid through before the end of the year. The breakdown left the car industry - which employs 3 million people - in limbo. General Motors and Chrysler have warned that they will go bankrupt this month if they do not receive $14bn in taxpayer funds.

The Senate majority leader, Harry Reid, called the breakdown a "a loss for the country". "It's over with," he said. "I dread looking at Wall Street tomorrow. It's not going to be a pleasant sight."

Watch Guardian video: 'I dread looking at Wall Street': Senators from both sides are gloomy after a bail-out proposal for the big three carmakers is rejected >>> Friday, 12 December 2008

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December 11, 2008

Ehrenfeld / Abady – Islamic Banking: Is Treasury complicit?

THE WASHINGTON TIMES: If "cash is king," then Middle East coffers are irresistibly enticing. During a recent tour of Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states, Deputy Treasury Secretary Robert Kimmitt applauded the "growing role" of Arab banks in the U.S. economy. Treasury is seeking buyers for its newly acquired bailout assets because more than $1 trillion in cash is urgently needed to rescue the largest U.S. banks.

However, cash from the Arabian Gulf comes with a vital string attached: Islamic banking, erroneously viewed as an ancient practice. In fact, Islamic banking is a newly invented institution: "Neither classical nor medieval Islamic civilization featured banks in the modern sense, let alone 'Islamic' banks," notes Timur Kuran, professor of economics and law at the University of Southern California. According to the Dinar Standard, "assets managed by Islamic banks are in excess of $700 billion - predominantly concentrated in the Middle East."

Islamic banking took off in the 1970s, but was first concocted by Muslim Brotherhood founder Hassan al-Banna in the 1920s. The stated goal was to penetrate the Western finance system, corrupting it from within in hopes of creating a parallel system to re-establish a global Islamic empire governed by Islamic law (Shariah). Islamic rules of commerce (fiqh al-muamalat) forbid interest (riba) and investing in a prohibited (hara'am) enterprise. They also mandate tithes on wealth (zakat). However, the Koran fails to precisely define these concepts. Imams and ayatollahs differ, for example, on whether riba prohibits all interest or only usurious interest.

While the overhaul of American and Western banking regulations is urgent, Islamic banking cannot be the answer because Muslim clerics - not U.S. laws and regulators - make the rules. In 1969, the Saudis created the Organization of the Islamic Conference (OIC), which is now leading the charge for global expansion of Islamic banking and has established new regulatory, accounting and auditing organizations to govern such banks. Notably, the OIC's charter is to "liberate Jerusalem and Al-Aqsa [mosque] from Zionist occupation." >>> Rachel Ehrenfeld and Samuel A Abady | December 11, 2008

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The Reverse Brain Drain

GLOBEANDMAIL: A collapse of Western financial industries has sent thousands of skilled professionals from immigrant backgrounds to their homelands - a huge shift of knowledge and skills

LONDON — Five months ago, Pankaj Dinodia was on top of the Wall Street boom: At age 25, the Indian immigrant had made it through one of the top U.S. business schools and held an important investment banking position with Goldman Sachs.

Then, in the middle of the summer, he felt the calling. The future didn't look so good in the big Western markets, he decided.

Those calls from his family in New Delhi, urging him to come back and help out with the family accounting business, sounded more sensible. So he gave up his huge bonus and got on a plane.

At the time, his move from the world's most successful investment bank to the poky New Delhi offices of S.R. Dinodia & Co., Chartered Accountants, bewildered his friends and colleagues: It was as if he had abandoned his future.

Now they're all phoning him.

People like Mr. Dinodia are pioneers in the "reverse brain drain," a huge shift of knowledge and skills out of New York and London and back into the developing world. In one of the surprising consequences of the global financial meltdown, the collapse of the Western banking and finance industries has sent thousands of highly skilled professionals from immigrant backgrounds back to their homelands, where they are taking on key roles in emerging economies.

"I have ridden the bubble to the top and got out when things started looking shaky, but a lot of my colleagues have lost their jobs ... the Lehman Brothers of the world, the Bear Stearns of the world are no longer sucking up talent from India but instead sending it back," Mr. Dinodia said from New Delhi the other day.

"So companies here can now hire bankers with the kind of experience we never could have dreamed of employing before the crunch." >>> Doug Saunders | December 11, 2008

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Brown Spends Tax-payers Money Like a Drunken Sailor

THE TELEGRAPH: Prime Minister Gordon Brown dismissed sharp German criticism of British policy on handling the financial crisis as being the result of "internal German politics."

Responding to remarks by German Finance Minister Peer Steinbrueck that Britain's switch from financial prudence to heavy borrowing to fund a stimulus package was "breathtaking" and "crass Keynesianism", Mr Brown insisted that Germany was also investing heavily in its economy and carrying out policies similar to London's.

"The German government is investing more, they've just announced a fiscal expansion so that they can invest in public works, and helping their banks and doing these sort of things," Mr Brown told LBC radio.

"I don't really want to get involved in what is clearly internal German politics here because they're a coalition in Germany with different political parties.

"I think the important thing is almost every country around the world is doing what we have been doing," in terms of supporting ailing banks and providing fiscal stimulus, the prime minister said.

Mr Steinbrueck's comments were highly unusual given that they were so publicly critical of an ally's policies and are likely to add to tensions between Britain and Germany on the eve of a European Union summit on tackling the crisis.

In an interview with Newsweek magazine, Mr Steinbrueck singled out Mr Brown for abandoning fiscal prudence and switching to policies that would saddle a generation with debt.

"The speed at which proposals are put together under pressure that don't even pass an economic test is breathtaking and depressing," he said in the interview, published on the magazine's website on Wednesday.

"The same people who would never touch deficit spending are now tossing around billions."

He also questioned the effectiveness of the decision to cut VAT from 17.5pc to 15pc, saying "are you really going to buy a DVD player because it now costs £39.10 instead of £39.90?". [Source: Gordon Brown Dismisses German Criticism of UK Spending]

NZZ Online: «Jetzt schmeissen sie mit Milliarden um sich» : Ärger in London über Belehrungen aus Berlin

Berlin stemmt sich gegen europäische Rettungspläne, für die dann die Deutschen zahlen sollen. Vor dem EU-Gipfel in Brüssel hat der deutsche Finanzminister Peer Steinbrück unverblümte Kritik am Konjunkturpaket der Regierung Brown geäussert – und damit in London Unmut hervorgerufen.

awy. «Das führt nur dazu, dass die britische Staatsverschuldung so weit ansteigt, dass eine ganze Generation nötig ist, um sie wieder abzuarbeiten.»

So lautet die unverblümte Kritik des deutschen Finanzministers Peer Steinbrück am Programm zur Konjunkturankurbelung, das die Regierung Brown in London angekündigt hat – eine Belehrung von Sozialdemokrat zu Sozialdemokrat, kurz vor dem EU-Konjunkturgipfel in Brüssel heute Donnerstag.

Kritik am krassen Keynesianismus

Steinbrück bezweifelte insbesondere, dass die angekündigte Senkung der britischen Mehrwertsteuer irgendeinen spürbaren Effekt haben werde: Es werde doch niemand ein DVD-Gerät kaufen, nur weil es 39.10 Pfund koste statt 39.90 Pfund.

Mit Erstaunen stellt Steinbrück in einem Interview mit dem amerikanischen Magazin «Newsweek» einen grundlegenden Wandel in der Wirtschaftspolitik fest: «Die gleichen Leute, die nie zu Staatsverschuldung bereit waren, schmeissen jetzt mit Milliarden um sich. Der Wechsel von Jahrzehnten der angebotsorientierten Politik hinüber zu einem krassen Keynesianismus ist atemberaubend.» >>> | 11. Dezember 2008

THE TELEGRAPH: German Finance Minister Spoils Gordon Brown's Bid to Save the World

Far from saving the world, as he claimed, infelicitously, in the Commons on Wednesday, Gordon Brown's approach to the financial crisis is beginning to alarm a good part of it.

The intervention of Peer Steinbrück, the German finance minister, who has attacked the British fiscal stimulus package, is an important moment for both the politics and the economics of dealing with recession.

Politically, it means Mr Brown can no longer claim that borrowing and spending more is the only way out of the crisis. He has attacked the Tories for taking a more prudent line since the pre-Budget report revealed that public borrowing will rise to more than £100bn next year.

By 2013, the Treasury will have borrowed an additional £500bn. This is deferred taxation that will have to be paid back by future generations of workers. >>> Philip Johnston | December 11, 2008

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December 10, 2008

Sterling Tumbles to Record Low against the Euro as UK Economic Woes Mount

THE TELEGRAPH: The pound fell to a new record low against the euro today after a stark warning that the pace of economic decline in Britain is accelerating as the country moves into a deep recession.

Sterling was the weakest it has been since the launch of the single currency in 1999, with one euro worth 87.79p compared with 71.91p just 12 months ago. The currency was under some pressure against the dollar too, hitting $1.4736 at its lowest point this morning.

For the first time in years, some currency analysts are beginning to speculate that the pound may be headed for parity - where one pound will buy you just one euro or one dollar. Others dismiss the view, expecting the euro to weaken next year as the downturn in Europe's economy worsens.

The pound is being hammered as investors quit the currency over fears that the UK will be one of the hardest hit by the global recession and - with Government debt mounting - is poorly equipped to cope. That message was reinforced this morning by the well-regarded National Institute of Economic and Social Research, which warned the UK is toppling into a deep recession in the fourth quarter and is likely to shrink by more than 1pc. >>> By Angela Monaghan | December 10, 2008

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December 09, 2008

Pétrole: La demande va diminuer

leJDD.fr: La consommation mondiale de pétrole diminuera à la fois en 2008 et 2009, et ce serait la première fois depuis les années 70 qu'elle se contracterait deux années d'affilée, a annoncé mardi l'Administration américaine d'information sur l'énergie (EIA). "La consommation mondiale de pétrole devrait baisser de 50.000 barils par jour en 2008 et de 450.000 barils par jour en 2009, et ce serait la première fois en trois décennies que la consommation mondiale diminuerait durant deux années consécutives", a ainsi déclaré l'EIA, qui anticipe en outre un prix moyen du baril de brut de 51 dollars en 2009. [Source: leJDD.fr] Mardi 09 Décembre 2008

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Merkel's Loss of Face

SPIEGELONLINE INTERNATIONAL: A European economic crisis summit without German Chancellor Angela Merkel? British Prime Minister Brown, French President Sarkozy and European Commission President Barroso say there's nothing odd about Merkel not getting invited to the meeting. German politicians and media disagree.

The German government's spokesman has an answer for everything. The fact that British Prime Minister Gordon Brown and French President Nicolas Sarkozy were meeting for pre-talks about the growing economic crisis in London ahead of a European Union summit was completely normal. Chancellor Angela Merkel's spokesman has been singing the same tune for days.

Nor should it amaze anyone that European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso was in London on Monday. After all, Barroso had been invited by Brown to a separate economic conference. It would be completely "absurd" to interpret the meeting as a deliberate exclusion of Merkel, government spokesman Ulrich Wilhelm said.

And yet, the fact that Merkel was exluded from the meeting is difficult to ignore. For days, observers have been wondering whether a rift has opened up within the EU.

Merkel herself hasn't been able to completely ignore the affront. Over the weekend, she had telephone conversations with Brown, Sarkozy and Barroso -- her spokesman said they agreed to work closely together. But the face-saving effort came too late. By then, the London summit was being interpreted in the same way in the media across Europe: EU leaders were meeting without "Madame Non", as Merkel has come to be known in the EU, in order to heave the continent out of a recession. She is widely seen as lacking the courage to take decisive action. >>> Carsten Volkery | December 12, 2008

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December 08, 2008

Markets Surge on Stimulus Hopes

BBC: US shares echoed gains in stock markets worldwide on hopes that new stimulus plans in the US and other countries will revive global economic growth.

The benchmark Dow Jones index was up 261 points or 3% in morning trading in New York, shrugging off Friday's grim unemployment numbers.

In the UK, the FTSE 100 ended up 6.2%, while Germany's Dax added 7.6%, and France's Cac finished up 8.7%.

Earlier in the day, stock markets around Asia also raced ahead.

The Dow Jones added 261 points to 8,897 by late morning, while the broader S&P 500 and the technology-dominant Nasdaq also gained.

"Despite bad US jobs data [announced on Friday], markets are gaining on a sense that they've hit the bottom and expectations for economic stimulus measures being put out by many governments," said Hiroake Osakabe at Chibagin Asset Management.

Other analysts were less optimistic that the rally would be sustainable while consumers and businesses were unable to access affordable bank loans.

"There's a chance we could be higher for the day, but I'd be very cautious about jumping in with both feet," said Scott Fullman, director of derivative investment strategies with WJB Capital. >>> | December 8, 2008

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US Shares Bounce on Obama Stimulus Package

TIMESONLINE: Shares on Wall Street surged by more than 200 points today on hopes that Barack Obama, America's President-elect, will go ahead with a huge stimulus package that could ultimately exceed $1 trillion.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 241.65 points to 8,877.07 at midday in New York, following strong gains in London where investors sent stocks soaring to close up 249.88 points or 6.17 per cent to 4,299.2. Germany's DAX ended up 8.5 per cent and France's CAC by 8 per cent.

Earlier, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index jumped 1,198.78 points, or 8.7 per cent, to 15,044.87 - its highest close in seven weeks - while Japan’s Nikkei 225 average jumped 411.54 points, or 5.2 per cent, to 8,329.05.

At the weekend, Mr Obama gave warning that “things are going to get worse before they get better”.

However, he also announced the biggest public works construction programme since Dwight Eisenhower created the interstate highway system half a century ago.

In his weekly radio address on Saturday, Mr Obama pledged a five-tier rescue plan to create jobs by combining traditional road-building projects with massive investment in new technology and green infrastructure. >>> Catherine Boyle and Tim Reid | December 8, 2008

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