Tuesday 22 March 2011

Inflation and Public Borrowing Add to Budget 2011 Headaches

THE GUARDIAN: • Consumer price index hits 4.4% for February • Public sector net borrowing for February at £10.3bn • Hopes dashed of big cut in deficit • News increases chance of cautious budget package

George Osborne was handed a double dose of unwelcome pre-budget news on Tuesday when official figures showed inflation leaping to 4.4% and public borrowing hit its highest February level since modern records began in 1993.

With the chancellor putting the finishing touches to his second package of fiscal measures, the rise in inflation put additional pressure on the Bank of England to raise interest rates while the deterioration in the public finances put paid to City hopes that borrowing in 2010-11 would significantly undershoot the government's £148bn target.

The disappointing economic news increases the chances of a cautious package from Osborne on Wednesday. The setback to the public finances gives the chancellor even less scope for budget giveaways and he will see a tough fiscal stance as necessary to prevent the Bank from raising interest rates.

Higher heating costs, the soaring price of oil and mark-ups from clothing and footwear retailers were mainly responsible for the increase in the consumer prices index measure of inflation from 4% to a 28-month high of 4.4%, according to the Office for National Statistics. » | Larry Elliott, economics editor | Tuesday, March 22, 2011

THE GUARDIAN: Inflation hits 4.4% in February: Retail prices index, which includes housing costs, hit 5.5% - its highest level since July 1991 » | Graeme Wearden | Tuesday, March 22, 2011